Kina/China

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Kina predstavlja svoj 15 petogodišnji plan (obavezujući vodič za društveni i ekonomski razvoj zemlje) koji utvrđuje prioritete ekonomskog i industrijskog razvoja 2026-2030. godine, sa tendencijom na tehnološku samodovoljnost, industrijsku nadogradnju i negovanje industrija u nastajanju, sa širokim spektrom političkih mera koje obuhvataju ceo lanac inovacija (veštačku inteligenciju i robotiku, kvantno računarstvo, bioproizvodnju itd).

Plan prepoznaje dugogodišnje strukturne izazove sa kojima se suočava kineska ekonomija – sporu domaću potrošnju i pad stranih investicija, i buduće potrebe – mere za povećanje potrošnje domaćinstava i širenje tržišta za strane kompanije, investicije i trgovinu.

Novi pristup zasnovan je, umesto na visokim stopama rasta, na razvoju. To je prelazak sa kvantitativnog rasta na visoko kvalitetni razvoj, zasnovan na visokoj digitalizaciji i AI u svim sektorima, kao i na jačanju domaćeg tržišta i usklađivanju prihoda stanovništva sa privrednim rastom.

Kina se danas nalazi u trećoj strateškoj fazi: fazi tehnološkog predvodnika – nakon prve faze privlačenja kapitala i tehnologiju, i druge kopiranja i masovne proizvodnje. Prednost višegodišnjeg koncepta razvoja, uz dobro iskorišćen proces globalizacije, zasnovan je na akumulaciji kvalitetnog znanja. Tome svakako doprinose i velika ulagana u R&D i R&I.

Novi plan je fokusiran na ekonomskom napretku – gradi ekonomsku trvđavu, sa veštačkom inteligencijom kao centralnom stvari. Celokupan proces je usmeren na kreiranje samostalnog i samodovoljnog sistema koji će do 2030. godine obezbediti funkcionisanje privrede i u slučaju potpune tehnološke izolacije.

https://english.www.gov.cn/news/202603/13/content_WS69b36c11c6d00ca5f9a09d96.html


China is presenting its 15th Five-Year Plan (a binding guide for the country’s social and economic development), which sets the priorities for economic and industrial development for the period 2026-2030. The plan emphasizes technological self-sufficiency, industrial upgrading, and the development of emerging industries, supported by a wide range of policy measures covering the entire innovation chain, including artificial intelligence and robotics, quantum computing, and biomanufacturing.

The plan recognizes long-standing structural challenges facing the Chinese economy – weak domestic consumption and declining foreign investment – as well as future needs, including measures to increase household consumption and expand market opportunities for foreign companies, investments, and trade.

The new approach is based not on high growth rates but on development quality. This represents a shift from quantitative growth to high-quality development, supported by extensive digitalization and the integration of artificial intelligence across all sectors, alongside the strengthening of the domestic market and the alignment of household income growth with overall economic expansion.

China is now entering its third strategic phase: the phase of technological leadership, following the first phase of attracting capital and technology and the second phase of imitation and mass production. The advantage of China’s long-term development concept, combined with the effective use of globalization, lies in the accumulation of high-quality knowledge. This process is strongly supported by substantial investments in R&D and research and innovation (R&I).

The new plan focuses on economic advancement – building an “economic fortress”, with artificial intelligence as its central pillar. The entire process is directed toward creating an independent and self-sufficient system that will ensure the functioning of the economy by 2030, even in the event of complete technological isolation.