Inflacija je i dalje visoka, ali je značajno opala od vrhunca 2022. godine. Inflacija energije smanjuje se sporo, dok je bazna inflacija niska u razvijnim zemljama.
Glavna inflacija je opala praktično svuda, prvenstveno zbog delimičnog preokreta veoma velikog rasta cena energije u prethodne dve godine i očekuje se da će se dodatno ublažiti. Nakon vrhunca od preko 10,7% u oktobru 2022. godine, inflacija OECD-a se skoro prepolovila i dostigla 5,9% u maju 2024. godine. To je blagi rast u odnosu na prethodni mesec usled rasta inflacije energenata (najveći rast od februara 2023. godine). Bazna inflacija je oko 6& dok je inflacija hrane stabilizovana na 5%. Ipak, glavna inflacija je ostala iznad ciljanih 2% za 31 zemlju OECD – iznad 8% u Turskoj i iznad 4% u narednih pet zemalja OECD.
Međugodišnja inflacija za zemlje G7 je stabilizovana na 2,9%, čemu najviše doprinosi niska bazna inflacija. Inflacija hrane je u padu, dok se sporije smanjuje inflacija energije. Nešto je niža inflacija u evrozoni (harmonizovani indeks potrošačkih cena je 2,6%), dok visoki prosek za zemlje G-20, od 7,6%, dolazi zbog visoke inflacije u Argentini (270%).
Izvor: OECD database
Napomena: Inflacija definisana kao godišnja procentualna promena indeksa potrošačkih cena.
Inflation is still high but has fallen significantly since the peak in 2022. Energy inflation is declining slowly, while core inflation is low in developing countries.
Headline inflation has declined virtually everywhere, primarily due to a partial reversal of the very large energy price increases of the past two years, and is expected to ease further. After a peak of over 10.7% in October 2022, OECD inflation almost halved to 5.9% in May 2024. This is a slight increase compared to the previous month due to an increase in energy inflation (the largest increase since February 2023). year). Core inflation is around 6%, while food inflation has stabilized at 5%. Still, overall inflation remained above the 2% target for 31 OECD countries – above 8% in Turkey and above 4% in the next five OECD countries.
Year-on-year inflation for the G7 countries stabilized at 2.9%, which is mainly due to low core inflation. Food inflation is falling, while energy inflation is declining more slowly. Inflation is somewhat lower in the Eurozone (harmonized index of consumer prices is 2.6%), while the high average for the G-20 countries, of 7.6%, is a consequence of high inflation in Argentina (270%).
Source: OECD database
Note: Inflation defined as the annual percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).